Risk, Uncertainty and Everything Else

A blog focused on the application of risk and uncertainty analysis to security problems

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Entries Tagged as 'risk philosophy'

Chinese Terrorism Risk Research

May 31st, 2008 · 1 Comment

For those of you doing research into anything that requires a literature review, it pays to check out the types of work your Chinese research counterparts have published on in the Chinese academic literature.  There are two really good full-text databases out there for Chinese academic journals:

  • Wanfang Data: According to the Wanfang data website, “as an affiliate of Chinese Ministry of Science & Technology, Wanfang Data has been the leading information provider in China since 1950s. With a wide range of database resources and value-added services, Wanfang Data has become a gateway to understand Chinese culture, medicine, business, science, etc.”  I personnally find this particular database to be very user friendly and English-language friendly.  The problem is that I don’t know of any scholarly institution with access…

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Tags: academic papers · chinese papers · international research · journals · natural hazards · risk analysis · risk philosophy · terrorism

Actionable Risk Assessment

May 26th, 2008 · 4 Comments

In a recent article published in the journal Risk Analysis: An International Journal, me and my coauthors’ suggested that all risk analyses, particularly those supporting homeland security decision making, should provide decision makers with more than statements such as “your risk to so-and-so is high.” In much the same spirit of actionable intelligence, we suggested that all risk assessments should produce actionable risk information, that is, information that provides insight into how to go about reducing risk. Unfortunately, the article containing this discussion was ambitious in its scope, thus leaving behind little space (i.e., a fraction of one column) to fully elaborate on this idea (for the abstract or full-text of the original article, see Ayyub, et al., “Critical Asset and Portfolio Risk Analysis: An All-Hazards Framework.” Risk

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Tags: actionable risk assessment · actionable risk information · risk communication · risk philosophy