Risk, Uncertainty and Everything Else

From 5-7 June 2008, I will be attending the “Critical Infrastructure Protection: Metrics and Tools” workshop sponsored by The Center for Homeland Defense and Security, Naval Postgraduate School, in Monterey, CA.

The agenda for this conference is as follows:

Thursday, 5 June 2008

1800-1830: Opening Speaker, Brandon Wales (Department of Homeland Security)

1830-2000: Reception (Cocktails and Hors D’oeuvres)

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Friday, 6 June 2008

0800-0815: Coffee/Tea

0815-0830: Introduction and Orientation, Ted G. Lewis (Naval Postgraduate School) and Tom Mackin (California Polytechnic State University)

0830-0900: Prioritizing Assets in Critical Infrastructure Systems, by Hilda Blanco (University of Washington)

0900-0930: Strategic Homeland Infrastructure Risk Assessment, by Kristine Poptanich (Department of Homeland Security)

0930-1000: Threat-Based Approach to Risk Case Study: The Strategic Homeland Infrastructure Risk Assessment (SHIRA), by Kim Jin, Geoffrey S. French, and Pasha Vasilev (CENTRA Technology, Inc.)

1000-1030: Break

1030-1100: The Importance & Challenge of Integrating Assessments of Threat, by Deanne Morgan (Royal Canadian Mounted Police)

1100-1130: Techniques for Adversary Threat Probability Assessment, by William McGill (Penn State University) [ME]

1130-1200: The Mathematics of Terrorism Risk: Equilibrium Force Allocations and Attack Probabilities, by Michael R. Powers (Temple University)

1200-1330: Lunch

1330-1400: A Service Oriented Approach (SOA) to the IT-based Protection of Critical Infrastructures - A First Approach to Integrate SOA Into a Complex Operational Analysis Within Risk Assessment and Risk Management Processes, by Stefan Pickl (University of the Federal Armed Forces, Munich)

1400-1430: Modeling Population Response to Asymmetric Warfare, by Maksim Tsvetovat (George Mason University)

1430-1500: Probabilistic Project Management for a Terrorist Planning a Dirty Bomb Attack on a Major US Port, by Richard John (University of Southern California)

1500-1530: Break

1530-1600: Maritime Security and Risk Assessment Methodology (MSRAM): Balancing Resources to Risk, by Brady Downs (US Coast Guard)

1600-1630: Introduction to the Terrorism Risk Assessment and Management (TRAM) Methodology, by Chel Stromgren (Department of Homeland Security)

1630-1700: Convergence of Critical Infrastructure Protection and Continuity of Operations in Banking and Finance: A Network Modeling Framework for Holistic Risk Management in the Financial Services Sector, by Stephen Lieberman (University of Connecticut)

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Saturday, 7 June 2008

0800-0830: Coffee/Tea, Pastry and Fruit

0900-0930: The Healthcare and Public Health Sector: Challenges and Strategies to Conducting Sector Wide Assessments, by Harry Mayer (Office of Health and Human Services)

0930-1000: How Much and on What?, by Robert Powell (University of California at Berkeley)

1000-1030: Problems in Cascading Networks, by Ted Lewis (Naval Postgraduate School)

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